Monaco vs Nice: Ligue 1 Showdown on Oct 5 – Stats, Lineups & Odds

Monaco vs Nice: Ligue 1 Showdown on Oct 5 – Stats, Lineups & Odds

Oct, 6 2025

Written by : Christine Dorothy

When AS Monaco host OGC Nice at Stade Louis‑II on , French Ligue 1 fans will be eyeing a clash that could reshape the top‑half of the table. The fixture, part of Round 7, will be overseen by referee Willy Delajod, and both sides arrive with contrasting fortunes – the Principality club sitting fourth, Nice languishing in twelfth.

Season Snapshot: Where the Teams Stand

Monaco’s early‑season surge – four wins out of six, twelve points and a +4 goal difference – has them perched in fourth place, a comfortable gap from the relegation zone but still chasing a European slot. Nice, on the other hand, have scraped together two wins, a draw and three defeats, leaving them with seven points and a –3 goal difference. The disparity in recent form is evident: Monaco’s run reads W‑L‑W‑W‑W‑L, while Nice’s pattern is L‑W‑L‑W‑L‑D.

Starting XI and Tactical Blueprint

Monaco will line up in a 4‑2‑3‑1. Goalkeeper Philipp Köhn is expected between the sticks, backed by a back four of Krepin Diatta, Eric Dier, Mohammed Salisu and Kassoum Ouattara. The double pivot features Jordan Teze and Mamadou Coulibaly, while the attacking trio of Maghnes Akliouche, Takumi Minamino and Ansu Fati will support striker Mika Biereth. The Principality’s manager has hinted at a high‑press approach, using Minamino’s work‑rate to force turnovers.

Nice’s manager prefers a 4‑4‑2 set‑up. Yehvann Diouf guards the goal, with a defensive line of Antoine Mendy, Moise Bombito, Melvin Bard and Jonathan Clauss. The midfield quartet of Hicham Boudaoui, Charles Vanhoutte, Ali Abdi and Mohamed‑Ali Cho will aim to feed the strike partnership of Sofiane Diop and Terem Moffi. Nice’s plan revolves around quick transitions and exploiting any space left by Monaco’s advanced full‑backs.

Head‑to‑Head: History and Recent Encounters

Overall, the rivalry has swung heavily in Monaco’s favor: 23 wins, 14 losses and 10 draws across 47 meetings since 2004. The most recent clash on March 29, 2025, saw Monaco edge Nice 2‑1, with Mika Biereth scoring in the 55th minute and Breel Embolo adding a winner in the 73rd. Nice’s lone goal came from Jérémie Boga at 41 minutes, while a late red card for Dante (90+1) capped a tense finish.

In the last five meetings, Monaco have taken three wins, one draw and one loss, averaging 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Nice, despite a superior scoring rate in their last five matches (2.4 per game), have been less consistent against the Principality.

Injury Bulletin and Availability

Injury Bulletin and Availability

Monaco’s squad will miss Tanguy Ndombélé, who is battling a hernia that is expected to keep him out until late October. Gabin Bernardeau is also absent on international duty, leaving the midfield a shade thinner. Nice’s injury list is comparatively lighter; however, the defensive partnership of Mendy and Bombito has been nagged by minor strains, a factor the coach will monitor.

What the Numbers Say

  • Monaco: 4‑0‑2, 14 goals for, 10 against, +4 GD, 12 points.
  • Nice: 2‑1‑3, 7 goals for, 10 against, –3 GD, 7 points.
  • Head‑to‑head record: Monaco 23‑14‑10.
  • Recent form (last 5): Monaco W‑L‑W‑W‑W, Nice L‑W‑L‑W‑D.
  • Key absentees: Tanguy Ndombélé (Monaco), Gabin Bernardeau (Monaco).

Prediction & Betting Angles

Given Monaco’s superior home record and the firepower of Biereth and Embolo, most bookmakers are nudging the odds toward a Monaco win – typically around 2.10. That said, Nice’s ability to score two‑plus goals per game this season means the over/under market (2.5 goals) will be lively. Punters watching the midfield battle should keep an eye on couplings like Teze vs. Boudaoui; a win for Monaco could hinge on who wins that central duel.

Key Takeaways for Fans

Key Takeaways for Fans

The match is more than three points; it’s a litmus test for Monaco’s European ambitions and a chance for Nice to climb out of the bottom‑half. If Mika Biereth finds the net early, the Principality could lock the game down. Conversely, a quick strike from Sofiane Diop could force Monaco to chase, exposing gaps left by Ndombélé’s absence.

Event Details

Monaco vs Nice Ligue 1 MatchStade Louis‑II

Frequently Asked Questions

How does this match affect Monaco’s European hopes?

A win would push Monaco into the top three, narrowing the gap to the Ligue 1 leaders and strengthening their case for a Europa League spot. Even a draw keeps them within striking distance, but dropped points could see them slip to fifth.

Which players are most likely to decide the outcome?

For Monaco, striker Mika Biereth and forward Breel Embolo have been the main goal threats. Nice will rely on the pace of Terem Moffi and the creativity of Sofiane Diop.

What are the key injury concerns for both sides?

Monaco are without midfielder Tanguy Ndombélé (hernia) and winger Gabin Bernardeau on international duty. Nice have a relatively fit squad, though minor strains on Antoine Mendy could influence defensive stability.

What betting markets are likely to be most active?

The primary win‑draw‑win market leans toward Monaco (around 2.10). Over/under 2.5 goals is hot, given Nice’s recent scoring rate. A special bet on first scorer could also draw interest, with Biereth and Moffi as favorites.

6 Comments

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    Kasey DellaPenna

    October 6, 2025 AT 02:53

    Grab a seat the excitement is building as Monaco line up to take on Nice they have the momentum and the fans can feel the buzz

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    Gayleen Lowrie

    October 13, 2025 AT 01:02

    Focus on the midfield battle Rosetta and Teze need to lock down Boudaoui and give Biereth space to run at the defense Keep the shape tight and the transition quick

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    Wesley Nakamatsu

    October 19, 2025 AT 23:12

    It is evident that the strategic acumen of Monaco’s manager surpasses that of Nice’s, thereby rendering the former a more formidable opponent in this fixture.

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    Tyler Tucker

    October 26, 2025 AT 21:21

    This game feels like a drama waiting to explode.

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    julia mutambara

    November 2, 2025 AT 19:30

    When you consider the broader context of this Ligue 1 encounter, it becomes clear that Monaco’s early-season surge is not merely a statistical anomaly but a manifestation of a well‑structured tactical philosophy that was cultivated under the guidance of a forward‑thinking coaching staff. Their 4‑2‑3‑1 formation offers a balance between defensive solidity and offensive flair, allowing players like Minamino to wreak havoc in the middle third while the full‑backs provide width. Meanwhile, Nice’s traditional 4‑4‑2 approach, while historically effective, appears somewhat predictable against a side that thrives on high‑pressing and rapid ball recovery. The absence of Tanguy Ndombélé may be a concern, yet the depth of Monaco’s squad suggests that other midfielders can seamlessly fill the void, ensuring that the creative engine continues to spin. On the other hand, the minor strains affecting Mendy and Bombito on Nice’s side should not be dismissed, as they could lead to lapses in defensive organization, especially when dealing with Monaco’s advanced full‑backs. Historically, Monaco enjoys a superior head‑to‑head record, and this psychological edge often translates into on‑field confidence, which can be decisive in tightly contested matches. Moreover, the betting markets currently favor Monaco at odds around 2.10, reflecting not only their home advantage but also the perceived quality of their attacking options, notably Biereth and Embolo. Yet, the over/under 2.5 goals line is tempting, given Nice’s recent goal‑rich performances; a single quick counter‑attack could tip the scales. From a fan’s perspective, this match is more than three points; it is a litmus test for both clubs’ aspirations, with Monaco aiming for European competition and Nice desperate to climb out of the lower half of the table. In sum, the strategic nuances, squad depth, and psychological factors collectively suggest a slight edge for Monaco, but football remains wonderfully unpredictable, and a single moment of brilliance from a Nice forward could rewrite the narrative entirely.

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    Nelleke Elston

    November 9, 2025 AT 17:39

    Everyone’s hyped up about Monaco’s odds but I think the bookmakers are overestimating them, Nice has the firepower to flip the script and the odds should be tighter.

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